Baker Jensen Investment Advisors

 

BJIA Update
July 2008

Volume 13, Issue 6

Contents

The Economy - Traditional View vs. Current View
by Guy Baker

Is real estate a viable investment opportunity yet?
by Tony Ronan

Doing investment research? You're probably wasting your time
Investors’ behavior penalizes growth
Mutual funds that trade a lot suffer from lower returns
Health crisis, rich recession, & more


Mutual funds that trade a lot suffer from lower returns

There seems to be an inverse relationship between trading activity and investment returns: the more you buy and sell, the lower your returns.

Various studies have come to this conclusion. A study of thousands of individual investors using a discount broker found that the most frequent traders had the worst average performance. Trading guys
And a well-known study of mutual funds by Mark M. Carhart of Goldman Sachs in 1997 showed that for each 100-point increase in trading by a mutual fund, its returns dropped by almost 1 percentage point.

Four trading costs
A new study published in the Journal of Indexes used updated mutual fund information to test Carhart’s results. It identified four costs borne by a fund that trades actively:

More trading

The average turnover in mutual funds has increased over the last 25 years.  Turnover is expressed as a percentage of how many times the total value of a fund is bought and sold in one year. A 100 percent ratio means the fund traded all of its value in one year; a 200 percent ratio means it did that twice in one year.

The study used rolling three-year holding periods from 2001 to 2006 and found that large capitalization stock funds lost 0.19 percent of return for each 100 percent of turnover, on average.
Mid-cap funds lost 0.45 percent, while small-cap funds lost 0.80 percent and international stock funds lost 0.98 percent.


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